Who is a handicapper and how to become one
This review will focus on cappers. Who are they, what they do, where to look for them. How to distinguish a real capper from a swindler or an amateur, how to choose the right capper. How to become a capper yourself, what qualities and knowledge are required for this. What metrics are used to evaluate tappers. How much a capper can earn and how. We will discuss all this today.
Who is a capper?
Cuppers (from the English handicapper) are professional bettors who, for a fee or for free, share their predictions with a certain circle of people. They are also sometimes called handicappers or tipsters.
Cappers are different. There are amateurs who do it for free for fun, there are pros who make money like that. Some simply publish free forecasts in the public domain, others run paid channels in telegrams, VK or special sites. Still others sell subscriptions on prediction exchanges. Still others combine free and paid content, using the former to draw attention to their work.
There are cappers in football, tennis, basketball, hockey, e-sports. There are live and prematch cappers. There are those who work on large markets (outcomes, handicaps, totals) or on statistical outcomes. There are narrow specialists in some exotic sports and leagues. The bottom line is always the same - the capper shares his bets with people, and they (if desired) repeat their advice on their account.
Can you trust cappers?
It is possible, but not for everyone, but only for those who have passed your personal test. The fact is that in the field of paid sports predictions there is a huge number of amateurs and even outright scammers. According to some estimates, their number reaches 90% of all who call themselves that.
The main thing that a real capper should have is a history of bets verified by an independent resource with a decent distance from 1000 bets. The main trustworthy verifiers are bet-hub and blogabet. With less confidence, you can consider statistics on large specialized resources - BET, vprognoze, legalbet and the like.
Everything else - drawn statistics in groups and individual sites, calculations in Excel and Google tables, links to unknown dubious verifiers, screenshots from the guest account - are immediately banned, they do not even pass the first check. Lack of verified statistics is the main sign of fraudsters, amateurs and information businessmen.
Let's take a closer look at these categories of false cappers:
- Amateurs. As a rule, these are completely green newcomers to betting. They made the first hundred bets, they were overwhelmed, and they decided that now they are very cool specialists. They immediately open their Vkontakte publics, telegram channels and begin to give their predictions. Pretty soon they start selling them, seeing great demand. But the corrective drawdown quickly puts everything in its place.
- Scammers. These guys are far from newbies, they are well aware that they are not able to honestly beat the bookmaker's line, and are simply deceiving the most gullible citizens. They guarantee sky-high profit figures, shamelessly fake their own bid statistics, and use standard marketing gimmicks to attract customers.
- Info Gypsies. In fact, these are the same scammers. The only difference is that they have a large audience, earned, as a rule, on something else (pranks, streams, blogs, etc.). They decide to further monetize their audience and suddenly become cappers. All means are used - selling ready-made game strategies, driving to the desired bookmaker using your referral link, free (and sometimes paid) forecasts with “super traffic”. And, of course, the attributes of “successful success” - wads of money, yachts, expensive cars and so on.
These categories of "cappers" cannot be trusted under any circumstances. However, they never have verified statistics - the first have not yet worked out it, and the second and third were not even going to do it. As we have already discussed, if there is no verified distance, we simply close the page.
There is another big problem with fake cappers - they create a perverse image of betting in young, fragile minds. They position the professional capper as “the dude who can easily row lave on an industrial scale”. This, of course, is not so - the work of a capper is quite complicated, it takes a lot of effort, time and nerves. And about the "industrial scale lave" - it happens very differently. We will definitely talk about this further.
Where to look for real cappers?
In general, you can find good tipsters anywhere - on social networks, on personal websites, and even in real life. But the largest cluster with a wide choice is found on the prediction exchanges and betting sites.
We have already given examples of such sites above:
These are quite authoritative resources with a large audience that maintain detailed statistics on the distance of all users. The most complete statistics are offered on the first two sites, on the rest you can also find enough information to draw conclusions. Resources that do not have forecast statistics are useless in terms of finding good cappers.
Since the resources are large, a lot of cappers and even more forecasts are published on them. The audience is very different - from outright gambling addicts to real professionals. Also, there are always a lot of clones: second, third, tenth accounts of the same forecaster. How do you single out worthy cappers?
How to choose a good capper on large resources?
Almost every resource has its own rating system, but you should not be guided by it. Many resources highlight the monthly rating, and there may be deeply negative bettors in the TOP. Some people just have a bad rating system and good cappers are hidden in the middle of the table.
First of all, you need to consider the distance. The distance is at least 1000 bets made. In general, the more bids, the more accurate the indicators. Accordingly, immediately weed out everyone who did not have enough distance. At a hundred bets, you can shoot very powerfully, but the real indicators of the capper will be visible much later.
Do not rely on the indicators of the predicted passability (percentage) - by itself, it does not carry any information. This indicator is informative only in conjunction with the player's average bet rate. A much more adequate metric of a capper's success is ROI (more precisely, Yield), we considered it in one of the previous articles.
The essence of Yield is that it is a single and specific percentage figure that reflects the effectiveness of the bettor's betting activity. It does not depend on the size of the bankroll or on the player's financial strategy. The calculation formula is very simple: all profit is divided by the total betting turnover and multiplied by 100 percent. The higher the value, the stronger the capper.
But there is another important point here - you need to find out in which markets this indicator was achieved. On the smallmarkets, you can fill in very nice percentage of the turnover numbers, but they will not help you in any way to make money with this capper. The small markets have very volatile odds, low limits and most bookmakers cut accounts quickly. Therefore, smallmarkets are not suitable for capper mailing. This also includes live bets. You can make a very good Yield stat for yourself live, but regularly rearranging the capper's live tips is a utopia.
If the capper works in big markets or some medium-sized markets (for example, cards and corners in TOP football), then any positive Yield indicator here is a huge success. With such a capper, you will almost certainly remain in the black if you have a good pot and follow all his advice in a disciplined manner.
On some resources, the indicator is calculated automatically (on blogabet it is called Yield, on bet-hub - ROI). On these verifiers, in general, all the statistics of cappers is given in great detail, you can run it according to various filters - sports, markets, time periods, coefficients, and so on. If there is no such metric on the site, then you will have to manually calculate the bettor's turnover and divide by it the income indicator in money or percentage, which is everywhere.
And the last criterion is the estimate of the drawdown value. On verifiers, again, it is calculated automatically, but on other resources you will have to view this parameter manually. A drawdown is a decrease in bankroll size over a period of time. Ideally, drawdowns should not be more than 60-67% and should not be very frequent - 2-4 per year. If the capper has a constant “swing”, then you can get into a hard minus period and lose your bank.
Let's summarize the parameters of a good capper:
- Distance at least a thousand bets;
- Positive Yield (ROI);
- Working mainly on big markets;
- Absence of frequent and critical drawdowns of the bank.
If all four conditions are met, then you can be sure that you have found a great capper. The advice of this player can be safely repeated on your account, observing financial management, or simply strictly adhere to its recommendations.
A prime example of phenomenal capper statistics
We almost forgot - another life hack. It is best to enter the mailing list on a drawdown or at the time of a protracted plateau, when the bank has not moved up or down for a decent amount of time.
How to work with a capper and how much should he pay?
It directly depends on its profitability indicators - those very distance Yield numbers (ROI). World TOP level - about 5% of profit from turnover. With a good turnover, both in the number of bets and in their size, you can earn more than good.
Let's do some calculations.
Given: the investor's bankroll is one million rubles. The capper gives 10 bets daily and recommends betting on 1% of the bank, that is, 10,000 rubles each. At the same time, he plays bigmarkets, which fits well into such sizing.
- Turnover per month: 10 x 30 x 10,000 = 3,000,000 rubles
- Multiply by Yield: 3,000,000 x 5% = 150,000 rubles or 15 nominal rates on average per month.
Not bad, isn't it? Moreover, if the bank is twice as large, then the profit will also double. The riskier way to increase your profits is to raise your bet size. With a 2% flat, the profit will also double, and with a 3% flat, it will triple. But the risks of merging the bank will increase by the same factor, so we do not recommend resorting to this method.
You can increase the turnover in another way - put down tips from two, three, four, five tippers at once. It is even preferable to do this, because it diversifies the risks. If one or two cappers are in a drawdown, the rest will keep the bank afloat.
Tip: if there are 4-5 or more cuppers in the pool, it is better to reduce the size of one bet to 0.5% or even lower, so as not to use half of your starting pot every day.
Thus, it is possible to increase profits to 400 thousand rubles per month from a bank of one million, that is, to do up to + 40% per month, which no bank or investment fund will offer. In this case, the client's time costs will not be very large - it will take a maximum of an hour or two a day to set the options.
It is advisable to select tappers so that they give all bets at the same time, so as not to sit all day waiting forecasts. Another option is to hire an operator who will catch bets from all cappers and place them. The third option is to write a bot that will fill in everything automatically. But not all bookmakers like it, so you need to be careful with this option.
Another nuance - it is better to select cuppers who play different sports and leagues. If everyone plays only football or only tennis, they will constantly overlap in matches, and often give opposite outcomes, because everyone has their own vision of the event.
You can interact with the capper through standard messengers (viber, whatsapp, telegram, facebook, vkontakte) or through the built-in forecast delivery mechanisms on the exchange or betting site. Also, the capper can establish some kind of general closed communication channel with all clients and send all his bids there.
But we digress from the first question - how much does the capper's services cost. The first thing to understand is that professional tippers in the overwhelming majority of cases work with subscriptions - for a month, quarter, six months or a year. There are subscriptions for a week or two, but much less often.
Professional tipsters practically do not sell individual forecasts - they think in remote numbers and, as a rule, make ten or more bets daily. As a rule, predictions by the piece are offered by false cappers.
In addition, buying individual predictions is simply unprofitable. After all, the price tags there are usually on the order of 100-500 rubles apiece. Imagine how much it would cost a decent turnover of 300 bets per month? Up to 150,000 rubles!
Even the most top Western cappers don't charge that much for their services. Monthly subscriptions there are in the range of 300-500 dollars, that is, up to 40 thousand rubles. In the CIS segment, a good subscription is even cheaper - about $100-150 per month. If you search well, you can find good options and even cheaper, for $ 50-70. Plus, many tippers give a good discount on long term subscriptions.
Who can become a capper?
Anyone can become a capper. To do this, you do not have to take the Unified State Exam, study for five years at the university, get a diploma or something like that. The only thing that is required is a working strategy with positive statistics, confirmed by an independent resource.
Verified statistics is a business card, portfolio of any capper. In its absence, no one can be called a capper. This is very important, so we emphasize this once again.
It sounds simple enough, but each stage of development in this profession is decently stretched in time. Developing and testing a good betting strategy sometimes takes years of experimentation with varying degrees of success. And the money poured out during this time is comparable in volume to the cost of education in a good university.
Then the statistics need to be confirmed. To do this, you need to fill at least 1000 bids on the verifier, or even more. This, too, is not a matter of one day. Even with a turnover of 300 bets per month, it will take several months. And some strategies involve less turnover, in which case it will take even longer to “defend your capper diploma”.
And then - practice. Attracting customers, regularly analyzing the line, searching for information, watching matches, sending out predictions, controlling subscriptions and unsubscribing, developing new tactics, optimizing, analyzing your own results, and much more.
Capper is a full-fledged profession, it takes away no less time than a lawyer or a salesperson. She is also very nervous and emotionally exhausting. So think carefully if you need it. Have you made up your mind? Then read on.
What does it take to become a capper?
Of course, in this profession (as in almost any other), not everyone will have an equal chance of success. People will have a big advantage:
- With a mathematical mindset. In betting, everything is tied to mathematics, especially to that part of it, which is connected with the theory of probability. Accordingly, graduates of mathematics departments will find it much easier to understand everything than humanities.
- Capable of self-organization. There are no bosses in betting who regularly “motivate” you to work. You need to be able to get out of the procrastination regime on your own, be able to organize work processes, learn to have a rest in time, competently distribute your activity and financial flows. Perseverance and patience are very important. Accordingly, “creative people” have a much lower chance of betting than businessmen or freelancers.
- Sports lovers. In fact, this is not a prerequisite, because some build their game strategies on bare math and numbers. Still, people who truly love the sport and have watched it for years, even outside the context of betting, will be more likely to stay in this profession than those who watch football through force.
- Psychologically stable. And also people with strong nerves and good emotional control. Bank drawdowns, which are inevitable in betting, hurt the nervous system. Sometimes they infuriate even the most experienced bettors, forcing them to commit unreasonable acts. With poor emotional control, there is nothing to do in professional betting.
- Curious people. Betting does not tolerate stagnation, this type of activity requires constant development and acquisition of new knowledge. Everything is constantly changing - teams, players' uniforms, whole leagues, sports rules. Trends and tendencies disappear into oblivion, strategies cease to work. In such conditions, you need to have great flexibility and be able to adapt to new conditions.
If you possess all or most of these qualities, you have a good chance in a betting career. However, there are exceptions to all the rules, and sometimes even a complete antipode of the described psychotype can show excellent results.
How to start your career as a capper?
Base - learning the basics of betting and developing a game strategy. Our “Articles” section will help you a lot with the first point. The second point is very difficult and takes a lot of time. The approaches here can be very different - value, statistics, trends, movement of coefficients - we will definitely talk about this in another article, and this one is already a full-fledged story.
It is best to have several strategies in stock at once. Firstly, betting strategies often stop working, and you urgently need to find a way out if you had a single copy of it. Secondly, several strategies insure each other. While there is a drawdown or two, the rest keep the bankroll (and your clients) afloat. Ideally, have 5-10 strategies working in parallel, but you still need to come to that.
Love for a particular sport will be of great help, and even better - the experience of performing in it at least at an amateur level. It is highly desirable to focus only on one discipline, or even better, on one league, and become a real professional in it. It is impossible to single-handedly outstrip the analytical departments of bookmakers in all directions. But one at a time is quite realistic.
Ideally, you need to literally live in the chosen league, know all its subtleties, news, insider information, be interested in the lives of players, regularly watch matches. And of course - regularly analyze the line and place bets on matches. All this takes a lot of time and effort, do not believe those who say that the capper profession is an easy way to quick money. This is hard mental work, the fruits of which are visible only at a distance.And even then, not everyone.
After the strategy has been developed, and has shown a certain profitability at a distance, you need to move on to finding clients. This task will be partially performed by the verifier, partially by word of mouth. If you show an impressive result, then the first customers will be drawn by themselves. But you can also speed up this process with the help of contextual advertising, mutual PR with other cappers, advertising integrations with bloggers, etc.
And then - just work systematically, experiencing ups and downs. There is no stability in betting. This is reflected both in the state of your bankroll when you place your bets and in the composition of the capper's customer pool. There is always a very big turnover in it - someone leaves, someone comes, someone comes back. All these points must be taken into account, recorded, and preferably even automated.
How much do cappers earn?
There is not and cannot be any single figure, the final "salary" of the capper varies greatly from month to month, and also depends on many factors:
- Capper skills in betting;
- Number of clients;
- Time devoted to work (more bets - more profit);
- His working strategy;
- Ability to attract new clients and retain old ones;
- Skill in promoting and advertising their services;
- Ability to quickly rebuild when something goes wrong.
But there are also pluses. For example, the fact that there is no cap on earnings - each new client increases the capper's income while labor costs remain at the same level. In addition, you can make your own bets according to your forecasts and extract additional (or even the main) profit from this.
On a very average level, a good capper can have 20-50 loyal followers, each of whom brings in $ 50-150 per month. There are more, but there are also very “poor” cappers who work for only 2-3 clients.