Common mistakes in soccer betting

02.09.2020

According to the latest research, every day millions of people in different parts of the world make bets on sports in bookmakers. New bookmakers are constantly appearing and so far there is enough profit for everyone. 

So it turns out that players are newbies, making their first bets go into the red. What is the reason? This material will answer this question. Errors in football betting will be considered. The thing is that it is on football matches that bookmakers accept a third of all bets made in the world. 

The main mistake that almost all novice bettors make is to place bets without a strategy and no special knowledge. Even if a person is well versed in football (yes, almost everyone knows this game very well from childhood), this is not enough to successfully place bets on it. 

You need to study the materiel of betting, understand what the odds are, how and from what they change, what is value, distance, express and single bets. How to find truly valuable bets, how to allocate the pot, and much more. 

Another type of mistake is thoughtlessly using someone else's predictions. Yes, reading third-party analytics is interesting and useful, but the bottom line is that this should prompt your own thoughts and reflections. Blind copying of other people's bets, especially on express bets, rarely leads to a good financial result.

Total over bet

There is a persistent stereotype among the players that if two strong teams play, then at least three goals will be scored in their head-to-head match. This is not true. Today, the tendency is gaining momentum, when personal confrontations of attacking teams, on the contrary, end up "bottom". This is due to the fact that they begin to act more cautiously, with an emphasis on protection. And the bookmakers know this very well.

Several big wins in a row

The team wins with a conditional score of 5: 0 at the home arena. In a couple of days she will have to play again in her field, and the opponent is just not the strongest. Naturally, bookmakers accept a lot of bets on the outcome: the home team wins with a negative handicap of -4 (-3.5). 

Such bets are a mistake, because even a very strong team cannot constantly maintain a high level motivation. By and large, the giants do not care which score to win - 1: 0 or 6: 0 - both scores will bring her the same number of points in the championship. A large difference in the score is much more often a random event than a deliberate removal of an opponent.

Underestimating motivation in different tournaments

Teams often compete in several tournaments at the same time. At least in the domestic championship and the national cup, and sometimes also in European competitions. The motivation for each of these tournaments is different, depending on the team and its current vector of development. 

If a team from the second or third league has gone far in the national cup, it will almost certainly cling to its teeth in the match, even against much stronger opponents. Teams playing in Europe often sacrifice domestic championship matches in order to compete internationally. The bettor must take this into account when making a bet.

Defeat of the favorite before the Europa League or Champions League

There are three cases when the European Cup favorites become a more important tournament than the domestic championship: 

In the championship, even the first line does not bring in as much money as the passage to the next round of European cups. For example, the Ukrainian championship. For the victory in the UPL 19/20, Shakhtar Donetsk earned several million dollars. But for the entire European Cup campaign 19/20, the team received more than twenty million. 

In the national championship, everything is decided. For example, 5 rounds before the end of the championship, “Bavaria” managed to secure a champion title. The pursuers will no longer catch up, so you can focus on the Champions League. 

In the first playoff match, the outcome was the defeat of the top team. To prepare for the return game, the mentor gives the reservists the opportunity to play in the championship match. The main players, on the other hand, recuperate and sort out mistakes.

Betting on your favorite team

Firstly, ardent bettor fans tend to overestimate their favorites and are not able to adequately assess their capabilities before the upcoming meeting. Secondly, bets on "your" team, of course, double the emotions, but they can double the negative if it is defeated. Therefore, it is better to separate “pain” and sports betting and avoid betting on your favorite team. 

Or here's a life hack: bet against it. In case of victory, you will rejoice at the success, and in case of defeat, the payment will sweeten the bitterness. The very fact of your bet will not affect the result, this is superstition.

Rehabilitation after losing at home

Yes, teams are trying to rehabilitate themselves for previously made mistakes, but such a rate does not always work. Especially if the loss happened already 2-3 days ago, then the emotions almost certainly subside. Accordingly, the required charge may not be available.  

Conclusion 

Bets are a game in which the bookmaker has an advantage. Of course, there are certain rules to follow. But remember that only a competent analysis of each event, correctly chosen odds, as well as a well-thought-out strategy, will become the key to success in betting!