Goals in first time and in second time
Strategies for betting on goals in the first and second half of football matches. All tactics and approaches, tips and secrets. How to bet correctly on half-time goals in football. Also at the very bottom you will find a bonus strategy for betting on goals with 90% + traffic!
The best bookmakers for betting on soccer goals
From large bookmakers, the outcomes for bets on the strategies described below are offered by the bookmakers "Marafonbet" and "Fonbet". They have a sane margin for these markets of up to 5%, as well as the highest bet limits - several tens of thousands of rubles. But, unfortunately, such outcomes are offered only for the matches of the largest competitions, which greatly reduces the potential betting turnover.
BetCity, Zenitbet, 1X Bet and Melbet offer goal markets for more competition, but there are higher margins and lower limits. In addition, in such offices, they will most likely cut the limits of bets literally after several successful bets on such markets.
In general, here you have to choose from two evils - cutting the account or reducing the turnover of bets. In “Marathon” and “Fonbet”, over time, the limits will also be cut, but they will earn more money. But there is not much choice - in professional offices, such outcomes, unfortunately, are not offered.
First half goal betting strategy
Bets on half-time goals in football are made live, during the game. But you need to take into account the pre-match layouts. In particular, it is best to select effective championships, where there are many teams with good attack indicators. The major leagues of Germany, England, Italy, Spain, Holland are well suited for these strategies. Ideally, if in the championship the average total exceeds 2.5 goals per game on average.
Which matches are suitable:
- It is worth weeding out matches in which approximately equal teams play. They often focus on positional wrestling with relatively few chances to score. A suitable match - in which there is a clear favorite with odds to win no higher than 1.70.
- Quotes on TM (2.5) should also be no higher than 1.70, but at the same time, the favorite's goal in the first half before the game should be given at least 1.40.
Let's try to find a suitable match for the bet.
Spain is a big favorite with 1.25 odds, TM (2.5) goals almost fit into strategy (1.71), but there isn't much football to go over right now. The odds for the favorite's goal in the first half are suitable - 1.45.
But the bet is not made immediately, but in live mode. You need to look at the starting 10 minutes of the meeting, evaluate the mood of the favorite team and their game statistics. The number of dangerous attacks (approaches to the goal), shots on goal and on target is especially important. Also, during this time, we will increase the odds for the favorite's goal in the first half. As a rule, it reaches at least 1.70 in 10 minutes, which is already quite playable.
It is also useful to see the statistics of the favorite's goals before the match - in which segments of the match they score most often, how many they score on average in the first halves, and the opposite indicators for the outsider of the match.
If visually and statistically the mood of the favorite inspires confidence and they do not have time to score an early goal - feel free to bet on their goal in the first half at the current odds after the tenth minute of the match.
And here is the result
The disadvantage of this strategy is that there are not so many suitable games that meet all the criteria. In addition, some of them fail because of the favorite's goal in the first ten minutes of the game. That is, you will not be able to place a lot of bets, but they will be quite reliable.
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Approximate parameters of the passability of the game according to this strategy: about 15% of bets will be thwarted due to a quick goal of the favorite. If we do not take them into account, the throughput of real bets on the favorite's goal in the first half will be about 66-67%, which gives an ROI (Yield) of 13% with an average odds of 1.70.
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Second half goal betting strategy
According to statistics, more goals are scored in the second halves than in the first (the ratio is about 44% to 56%). This is due to the fact that by the end of the match the players are already running out of energy, as well as the need to urgently solve the problem for the match. Therefore, the odds for TB are slightly lower here, on average, at the beginning of the second half, bookmakers offer only 1.3-1.5.
Due to this feature, it is better to take bets on goals in the second half in the range from 65 to 70 a minute. Then the odds for the next total are usually higher than 1.60 and can even reach 1.80+. Most goals, by the way, are scored after the 75th minute of the game and until the end of stoppage time - almost 25% of all goals.
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The approximate passability of rates for this strategy is in the region of 70-75%, so such quotes are already quite enough. To improve performance, you can skip matches in which there are already two or more goals. In general, the ideal situation to enter is a 0: 0 score or a 1: 0 score in favor of an outsider.
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For this strategy of the game, again, you need to choose scoring championships, weeding out matches in which teams with a strong defense and teams with a weak attack play. Matches with a clear favorite are in priority (the prematch coefficient for a win is up to 1.70).
It is important to follow the development of the situation on the field in live, assessing how active the teams are in attack, how many approaches to the goal, how many shots they hit, how much they accurate. If the teams “roll cotton wool” in the center of the field most of the time - the bet is not very appropriate, it is better to move to another match.
And here is the second goal of the Spaniards in strategy with an amazing coefficient of 2+
Bonus strategy "no goal in the interval"
If you divide a football match into 15 minute chunks, goals are not an equally likely event. As we have already found out, most often goals are scored from the 75th minute until the match is over. Accordingly, this segment is not very suitable for a bet on this strategy.
The best segment is the starting one. In the first 15 minutes of the match, only 10% of all goals are scored. Accordingly, you can have a passability of about 90%, and if you carry out additional selection, then in general, practically not lose.
Selection criteria are inverse to the strategies discussed above:
- The teams should be approximately equal (the odds per favorite are higher than 1.70);
- Priority to good defenses and weak attacks;
- Priority to championships with an overall low score;
- The coefficient for TL (2.5) is lower than for TM.
The coefficient on the market “Goal in the first 15 minutes of the match - no” under such conditions will not be very high - 1.20-1.25, but with 90% + traffic rate - this is more than enough for effective and systematic bankroll building. In addition, sometimes you can catch bets with odds of 1.35 and even a little more.
Dry not only the 15-minute segment, but the entire first half
Of course, bets on this strategy should be made in the prematch. Another undoubted plus of the strategy is the rapid turnover of funds. It is very easy to find a suitable match for this strategy - such matches make up more than half of all. You can bet just before the start of the game, and after 15 minutes you have a ready result of the bet.
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Even if we take the most modest figures - a coefficient of 1.20 and a cross-country of 90%, then we get ROI (Yield) at the level of 1.20 x 90% x 100 - 100 = 8%, which is more than worthy. In practice, you can safely place up to twenty such bets a day, getting an average of 8% from each, regardless of the result.
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