All About Champions League Final Betting
On May 29, 2021, the final of the next Champions League took place. In the Portuguese city of Porto, two English clubs came together - Chelsea and Manchester City. As often happens in such serious confrontations, everything was decided by one goal, which was scored in the 42nd minute by German Chelsea midfielder Kai Havertz.
managed to raise the most, and roughly estimate the total profit that bettors (or bookmakers?) received from this game.
Predictions for the 2021 Champions League Final
Betting portal "BET TV" managed to collect a good statistical base, which can be used to draw conclusions about the success of the cappers in this match, and in general, at events of this level.
Portal users gave 780 predictions for this match and only 143 of them were successful. This is slightly more than 18% of all forecasts. Accordingly, the bookmakers got a share of the winnings of almost 80%.
Ordinary cappers showed the largest loss, which is not surprising given their percentage advantage on the portal. Players marked "Profi" also made a minus, and only the "Experts" of the site were able to make a plus. And even then, extremely weak.
There is no reason to believe that the cappers outside the portal were staged in any other way. 780 options from people who are already quite familiar with betting - a fairly representative sample.
Champions League final odds review
Why did the cappers suffer such a serious loss? According to the materials of the betting portal "Vprognoze", the overwhelming majority of bets were made on the outcomes so beloved by the general public:
- The victory of the favorite according to the bookmaker's assessment (the victory of Manchester City in the regular time of the match was quoted just below the two);
- The victory of the favorite in the match for the “sure” 1.44;
- TM (2.5) goals for 2.30 -2.40;
- TM (2) goals for 1.71;
- Both will score - yes for 2.00-2.1.
Needless to say, all these bets were lost when the score was 1: 0 in favor of the underdog. For a clear win, Chelsea were given around 4.50, in some places even higher. The maximum odds for a Chelsea victory recorded on the portal is 5.70!
The fact that Chelsea would win the trophy could have been made about x3.2. At F (0), they were under three, they were given about a non-loss like a victory for Manchester City - in the region of two. The Blues' one-goal win was quoted at about six.
Chelsea and TM (2.5) wins at about 7.30. Chelsea's win (first half + match) was estimated at 8.23 on the SBOBet closing line. And the players who guessed the exact score of the match (0: 1) replenished their pot by about ten times the size of the bet.
Only a few cuppers bet that both teams will not score (odds about 1.7-1.8). And in general, no one made a prediction that Manchester City will not be able to score with a goal (coefficient in the region of 3.5). Although there even IT1M (1.5) went for quite playable 1.7. The coefficient for the total TM (1.5) goals was delicious “almost three”, and for TM (2) goals - about 2.20, but these options were in the overwhelming minority.
How the bets on the final were distributed at the real bookmaker?
BC "Fonbet" shared the statistics of the rates of its real players on the eve of the game. Here, too, a miracle did not happen - most of the bets came on the victory of Manchester City in regular or extra time - there were more than half of the total. One player charged a million rubles for the victory of Guardiola's team.
And, as usual, 83% of the players chose bets on "total over" against 17% of those who put three goals on TM. Bets on "Both Will Be Scored" were about 15% of the total, 23% of BC users believed in Chelsea, another 8% were betting on a draw for a coefficient of about 3.50. Similar figures were provided by the Paris Match BC.
As long as the players are so predictable and readable for the bookmakers, there can be no question of any massive earnings from bets. Bookmakers will remain confidently in positive territory.