European Championship 2020 (2021): what were the winning bets and odds?
The 2020 European Football Championship is dead, and now is the time to analyze which markets have been undervalued? What could make good money, what trends were the most stable at this largest (after the World Cup and the Olympics) tournament. All this, as well as the TOPs of the steepest drifts and offensive defeats, in our today's material.
The main trends of Euro 2020 (2021)
Top scorer - own goal
The first thing that immediately comes to mind is a very large number of own goals. The teams scored 11 goals into their own gates, which became a new record for the European Championships. And not just a record - until this year there were only 9 own goals in the history of this tournament. Of course, they used to be classified differently and were more often assigned to the batter, but nevertheless, the difference is just colossal.
Considering that the odds for own goals most often exceeded 6.00, all own goals were scored at different matches, and there were 51 of them in total. It is not difficult to calculate how much profit could be obtained when playing flat: at least 15 denominations of net profit. But rather even more, because at the beginning of the championship the bookers were giving the quotes standard for this market around 10.00.
Euro 2020 (2021) became the most productive in the history of this tournament. In total, the teams scored 142 goals and this is a new record. Also, the record was the average performance of the European Championships in terms of the number of matches - 2.78 goals per game (with a reasonable number of meetings in the tournament), if only the main time is taken into account.
The popular bet “both teams will score” took place in almost 55 % of cases - 28 times in 51 matches. The average odds for this event were above two, as there were many matches in the group stage with the participation of a pronounced favorite.
Matches ⅛ playoffs became a kind of respite in terms of OZ, but already from the quarterfinals of the playoffs, the bet “both will score” again returned to trends, and was held in six of the seven remaining meetings. Accordingly, it was also possible to earn money on this.
By the way, these trends have come into sharp contradiction with the tendency of the last European Championships. Since Euro 2000, the percentage of grassroots matches has steadily grown and reached a climax of 70% at the 2016 European Championship. The number of meetings in which the "OZ - no" bet took place grew similarly. In 2016, the percentage of such games was already 64%.
- Few warnings
Another rather obvious trend in this Euro is a small number of warnings. Obviously, the referees received instructions from FIFA to give fewer yellow cards, there is no other way to explain this anomaly. As in the case of performance, this confused the cards for those who like to bet on LCD, because even the most severe referees (Karasev, McKelly, Siebert, Oliver) have noticeably reduced their ardor.
As a result, the bet on TM (4.5) mustard plasters entered almost all matches - 45 out of 51! The average LCD total in the tournament was only 2.72, especially few warnings were shown in the first halves, often none at all.
Bookmakers realized only by the start of the playoffs, but even there the odds for this outcome remained quite attractive with such cross-country ability - about 1.5-1.6. At the group stage of the TM, the liquid crystal was in the region of two, and it was possible to get rich, regularly betting flat on this outcome. Often there was even TM (3.5) LCD - in the first round there were 11 out of 12 matches altogether.
We can also note a decrease in the total number of fouls in this championship. On average, the referees whistled 3 times less per match than in previous tournaments.
- Lots of penalties and poor conversion
The 2020 European Championship (2021) was the most productive in terms of penalty kicks - 17 penalties were awarded. Prior to that, the Euro record was 13 penalties in 2000. This is largely due to the development of the VAR system, which was first used at the European Championship. But it is unlikely that anyone could have foreseen that they would be beaten so badly. Of the 17 penalties, the players scored only 9 in this Euro. Implementation of 53% is very little. Moreover, the implementation was equally poor in the group stage and in the playoffs.
The odds for the appointment of penalties were stable in the region of the top three, and it was impossible to make much money on this. On the other hand, the odds for an unbeaten penalty were about 7.50-9.00, and with a passability of this outcome of 15.7%, it could have been very good to raise, even simply repeating bets on this outcome in every game of the group stage and playoffs.
- Few shots on target
The average number of shots on target for this Euro is 7.6. Usually the total was 9.5, less often 8.5 strokes. In addition to the matches of the Turkish national team, which often allowed opponents to hit their goal (8.3 missed hits on average per meeting), it was possible to bet quite profitably. But due to the presence of clear value, these markets were quickly loaded.
An interesting tendency in this Euro is more corners in the first half than in the second, although usually it is strictly the opposite. Bookers habitually gave the total corners in the first half lower than in the second, and it was possible to catch quite tasty odds by taking an increased TB of corners in the first halves with a keff of more than two.
The pass rate was above 50%, so players who noticed this trend remained in profit. It was also possible to bet simply on the market itself “more corners in the first half”.