European Championship 2020 (2021): what were the winning bets and odds?

The 2020 European Football Championship is dead, and now is the time to analyze which markets have been undervalued? What could make good money, what trends were the most stable at this largest (after the World Cup and the Olympics) tournament. All this, as well as the TOPs of the steepest drifts and offensive defeats, in our today's material.

The main trends of Euro 2020 (2021)

Top scorer - own goal

The first thing that immediately comes to mind is a very large number of own goals. The teams scored 11 goals into their own gates, which became a new record for the European Championships. And not just a record - until this year there were only 9 own goals in the history of this tournament. Of course, they used to be classified differently and were more often assigned to the batter, but nevertheless, the difference is just colossal.

Considering that the odds for own goals most often exceeded 6.00, all own goals were scored at different matches, and there were 51 of them in total. It is not difficult to calculate how much profit could be obtained when playing flat: at least 15 denominations of net profit. But rather even more, because at the beginning of the championship the bookers were giving the quotes standard for this market around 10.00.

High efficiency

Euro 2020 (2021) became the most productive in the history of this tournament. In total, the teams scored 142 goals and this is a new record. Also, the record was the average performance of the European Championships in terms of the number of matches - 2.78 goals per game (with a reasonable number of meetings in the tournament), if only the main time is taken into account.

The popular bet “both teams will score” took place in almost 55 % of cases - 28 times in 51 matches. The average odds for this event were above two, as there were many matches in the group stage with the participation of a pronounced favorite.

Matches ⅛ playoffs became a kind of respite in terms of OZ, but already from the quarterfinals of the playoffs, the bet “both will score” again returned to trends, and was held in six of the seven remaining meetings. Accordingly, it was also possible to earn money on this.

By the way, these trends have come into sharp contradiction with the tendency of the last European Championships. Since Euro 2000, the percentage of grassroots matches has steadily grown and reached a climax of 70% at the 2016 European Championship. The number of meetings in which the "OZ - no" bet took place grew similarly. In 2016, the percentage of such games was already 64%.

Statistics betting

1. Few warnings

Another rather obvious trend in this Euro is a small number of warnings. Obviously, the referees received instructions from FIFA to give fewer yellow cards, there is no other way to explain this anomaly. As in the case of performance, this confused the cards for those who like to bet on LCD, because even the most severe referees (Karasev, McKelly, Siebert, Oliver) have noticeably reduced their ardor.

As a result, the bet on TM (4.5) mustard plasters entered almost all matches - 45 out of 51! The average LCD total in the tournament was only 2.72, especially few warnings were shown in the first halves, often none at all.

Bookmakers realized only by the start of the playoffs, but even there the odds for this outcome remained quite attractive with such cross-country ability - about 1.5-1.6. At the group stage of the TM, the liquid crystal was in the region of two, and it was possible to get rich, regularly betting flat on this outcome. Often there was even TM (3.5) LCD - in the first round there were 11 out of 12 matches altogether.

We can also note a decrease in the total number of fouls in this championship. On average, the referees whistled 3 times less per match than in previous tournaments.

1. Lots of penalties and poor conversion

The 2020 European Championship (2021) was the most productive in terms of penalty kicks - 17 penalties were awarded. Prior to that, the Euro record was 13 penalties in 2000. This is largely due to the development of the VAR system, which was first used at the European Championship. But it is unlikely that anyone could have foreseen that they would be beaten so badly. Of the 17 penalties, the players scored only 9 in this Euro. Implementation of 53% is very little. Moreover, the implementation was equally poor in the group stage and in the playoffs.

The odds for the appointment of penalties were stable in the region of the top three, and it was impossible to make much money on this. On the other hand, the odds for an unbeaten penalty were about 7.50-9.00, and with a passability of this outcome of 15.7%, it could have been very good to raise, even simply repeating bets on this outcome in every game of the group stage and playoffs.

1. Few shots on target

The average number of shots on target for this Euro is 7.6. Usually the total was 9.5, less often 8.5 strokes. In addition to the matches of the Turkish national team, which often allowed opponents to hit their goal (8.3 missed hits on average per meeting), it was possible to bet quite profitably. But due to the presence of clear value, these markets were quickly loaded.

1. Corner

An interesting tendency in this Euro is more corners in the first half than in the second, although usually it is strictly the opposite. Bookers habitually gave the total corners in the first half lower than in the second, and it was possible to catch quite tasty odds by taking an increased TB of corners in the first halves with a keff of more than two.

The pass rate was above 50%, so players who noticed this trend remained in profit. It was also possible to bet simply on the market itself “more corners in the first half”.

Team trends

1. Underrated squad

Denmark is the main surprise and the most underestimated team in the 2020 championship. Before the start of the tournament, the Danes were given a coefficient of around 30 to win the tournament, reaching the playoffs was quoted almost equally with Russia. A rather predictable second place in the group could be put behind a three, and the odds for their reaching the semifinals ranged from 9+ before the tournament to 25+ after a bad start.

The Danes were underestimated in almost every match. Against Wales (4: 0) they were given 2.00, against Russia (4: 1) for more than two it was possible to take a handicap (-1), and in the quarterfinals against the Czech Republic 2+ it was clearly too much for the Danes to win in regulation time. Denmark scored 12 goals in Euro 2020 (2021) and this is the third result of the tournament. Better are only the Italian national team and the Spanish national team, which have scored 13 goals each.

1. Stable Italy national team

Italy under the leadership of Mancini has long been showing a strong trend. They do not lose to the TOP teams and play “grassroots football” with them. In this championship it was possible to catch tasty odds for 1X + TM (3.5) in the matches of Italy against the Spaniards and the Belgians. This trend also worked for the final against the British. In general, this bet took place in absolutely all matches of the Italian national team.

By the way, the bookers underestimated the Italian team as well. Before the start of the Euro, Italians were quoted only at the seventh-eighth position in the list of favorites (after England, France, Belgium, Spain, Holland, Germany, Portugal) by most bookmakers. Keff for their victory reached 15.00, and reaching the final was estimated twice as modest - 7.50.

1. Grassroots England squad

Before the start of the tournament, England showed pragmatic football for more than a year and conceded very few. Since October 2019, the British have played 16 matches and conceded only 5 goals in them (in four games). Their most “favorite” score in this segment is 1: 0, he met three times.

This trend continued at the European Championship - England played all of its matches (except for the 4: 0 match with Ukraine) at TM (2.5), the first three even at TM (1.5). She also conceded only two goals in seven matches (semifinals and final) and won twice in seven games with a score of 1:0.

1. Peaceful Spanish national team

The Spaniards played six matches at Euro 2020 (2021), and five of them ended in a draw in regulation time (in the sixth they defeated the Slovaks 5: 0). The most attentive bettors probably noticed this trend, because in 13 matches of the Spanish national team before the Euro (2020 and 2021), there was a draw six times! That is, in almost half of the cases.

Taking into account the odds for a draw 3-4 and even higher, it was extremely profitable to bet on this outcome. By the way, taking into account the Euro, Spain already has 11 draws in the last 19 matches, that is, their percentage in the last segment has risen to almost 58!

1. Sad teams of Russia and Ukraine

Both teams performed, to put it mildly, not brilliantly. Russia took the last place in the group, which could have been bet 5.50 before the start of Euro 2020 (2021). Defeats from Belgium (0: 3) and Denmark (1: 4), tortured victory over debutant Finland 1: 0, 3 points and 2-7 in the goal difference column. By the way, they were given odds of up to three if they didn't make it to the playoffs, which is also very tasty.

Ukraine performed better, but expectations were also higher. The championship for Ukraine was extremely unstable and wave-like. 0: 2 during the game with Holland, comeback at 2: 2, and still defeat 2: 3. A tortured 2-1 victory over North Macedonia, a 0-1 defeat to Austria, a wonderful passage to the first-ever playoff thanks to the results of other teams. There was an enchanting victory over the Swedes (2: 1 a.v.), but a completely weak-willed game against England (0: 4) spoiled the whole experience.

As a result, Ukraine conceded 10 goals in the tournament - the worst result among all teams at Euro 2020 (2021) and the second place in the list of the worst results in the history of the tournament after Yugoslavia in 2000. No trends can be singled out here, except perhaps to “ride the Ukrainian wave” and follow its fluctuations.

Personal trends

1. Ageless Cristiano

36-year-old Portuguese Cristiano Ronaldo played four matches in the championship and scored five goals (all in the group, he failed to score in the playoffs). True, three of them were from the penalty spot, but that was quite expected.

He took part in his fifth European Championship and scored in each of them. Now he already has 14 goals in European championships, and Ronaldo, having beaten the legendary Michel Platini (9), became the sole top scorer in the history of this tournament.

The odds on his goals in almost every match were higher than two (against France, even under 3) and he scored in three of four games. Keff on the fact that he will become the top scorer of the Euro, reached 10.00.

In some bookmakers this bet was fully played, since it was KriRo that officially received the Golden Boot. For some, she played partly due to the fact that the Czech Patrick Schik also scored five goals. These bookmakers split the winning coupons in two, and the bet on Ronaldo played at odds around 5.00, which is also quite good. There is no doubt that Ronaldo will light up just as well at the 2022 World Cup.

It was also a good bet that the top scorer of the Euro will be a player from the Italian “Serie A”. In addition to Ronaldo playing for Juventus, Romelo Lukaku from Inter and Ciro Immobile playing for Lazio had good chances for this title.

1. Magnificent Donnarumma

The young goalkeeper of the Italian national team (he is only 22 years old!) Not only helped his team to win the tournament, reflecting the blows of the British in the decisive penalty shootout. He also received the title of the best player of Euro 2020 (2021). Before the start of the championship, he was not even included in the long list of applicants, and this is more than a hundred participants. Accordingly, his odds were estimated below 500 (0.2% probability).

During the tournament he was noticed and even became the main favorite for the individual award. But the other is for the best young player. By the way, his surname was also not listed among the candidates for it before the tournament.

Even before the final, he was not among the top five favorites for the “best player in the European Championship” - Sterling, Kane, Jorginho, Chjelini and McGuire were there. In general, it was possible to profitably bet on the heir to Buffon's laurels at any time of the tournament.

Review of the best and worst bets for Euro 2020

Main gifts

The coolest bonus for the players, without a doubt, was the victory of Belgium in the match against Russia. The opening rate was around 1.75, which was already a boon. But then the "hurray-patriots" furiously loaded the Russian national team, and by the beginning of the game it had risen to 2.15! Everyone remembers the result - an easy victory for Belgium 3: 0, a victory in both halves, and F (-2.5) at 10.50. Many thinking players made great money on this match.

Another great fit - F (-1) to England in the match against Ukraine. There was very little doubt about the victory of the British, and the odds for this outcome were above two. Yes, the return was not very unlikely, because England often wins 1-0, but the return is not a loss. In the end, everything turned out quite easy (4: 0).

Good predictions could be made for the match Italy - Switzerland and Italy - Turkey (Italy wins in 1.7+, 3: 0 in both cases). The win for Austria (against Ukraine, 1: 0) for 3+ was also quite readable. Many predictions were also made on victories and handicaps of Denmark (against Russia, Wales and the Czech Republic) for a coefficient above two. The smart options were bets on the victory of Italy and Belgium in the group stage, on goals from Ronaldo and on him, as the top scorer of the championship.

TOP 5 coolest drifts

1. 5th place: the express train for two outcomes, which was accepted by the bookmaker “Fonbet”. The player has bet on TB (2) in the matches Ukraine - North Macedonia and Denmark - Belgium over two million rubles. The total coefficient was 2.48, and within 50 minutes after the start of the matches, the player received a payment of more than 5,300,000 rubles.

1. 4th place: one more bet on TB (2) in “Fonbet”, but already as an ordinary, and on the match North Macedonia - Austria. The player risked 1,315,000 rubles. and won 1,700,000 clean after the third goal.

1. 3rd place: the player took advantage of the bookmaker's gift described above and charged an ordinary 180 thousand rubles. handicap (-2.5) Belgium against Russia. The total payment amounted to more than 1,800,000 rubles, from which the bookmaker “Fonbet” suffered.

1. 2nd place: Here the player bet more cautiously, just on a clear victory of the Belgians on the line of the opening of “Parimatch” with a coefficient of 1.74. But the stake was much more impressive - almost one and a half million rubles. Lukaku's double and the overall victory of the Belgians 3: 0 brought him more than 2.5 million rubles. payments.

1. 1st place: the statistical express in Betcity BC brought the player 1,390,000 rubles for the very first Euro match between Italy and Turkey. net profit. And he put a million rubles on ITB (1.5) goals of Italians and TB (7.5) in corners.

(based on materials from the "Rating of Bookmakers")

TOP-5 most offensive losses in legal Russian bookmakers

1. 5th place. The client "Parimatch" bet 2,800,000 rubles for the victory of the British against Scotland. As a result, the result of the match did not change until the very last whistle and the player lost money. But the coefficient was only 1.33 - "sure"!

1. 4th place. The Betcity bookmaker has registered a coupon for two million rubles. The player bet on TB (1) in the first half of the England - Croatia match for 1.98. As a result, boring zeros happened there, and in general the teams struck for two only one shot on target, which became an assist. England won 1-0, but in the second half.

1. 3rd place. The bookmaker "Parimatch" accepted almost 1.4 million rubles to win the Croats against the Czech Republic. Croatia lost, and the client of the office lost with it.

1. 2nd place. Another big popan bet on the victory of France against Hungary with the odds of 1.29. This time the booker "Fonbet" was enriched. The player did not regret the bet of 1,236,000 rubles, but he regretted it later, when the Hungarians drew the match (1:1).

1. 1st place. A desperate guy loaded a million rubles into Betcity for Turkey's unbeaten in the starting game against the Italians. The coefficient was above three, and our hero hoped to get more than two million rubles clean. But the Italians buried his hopes by scoring three unanswered goals in the second half.

(based on materials from the "Rating of Bookmakers")

Bonus drifts and failures

A stunning express train with a total odds of over 10 thousand! Payment of more than five million from five hundred rubles. If this is true, it is simply a miracle in its purest form. We can't even imagine what a player should have in his head in order to decide to issue such predictions into a real coupon. However, the winners are not judged.

By the way, some bookers noted an abnormally large number of bets on the exact score 3: 3 in the match between Croatia and Spain. Keff for this outcome was under a hundred, and some players received rather large winnings, reaching up to a million rubles from one single bet.

A very risky multi bet with odds above four and an impressive amount of 2,200,200 rubles brought the player a payout of almost 9 million. He needed the Dutch national team and the Belgium national team to score two goals on the same game day. As if, on his order, the Belgians beat the Danes 2: 1, and the Dutch scored two unanswered goals against Austria. As a result, the Betting League suffered.

Blind faith in the Italians played a cruel joke on the player in BC "Parimatch". He charged half a million for Azzurri's clean win in regulation ⅛ final against Austria. And he lost - the Italians were able to win only in extra time.

Results of the European Championship

This was the sixteenth European Football Championship in terms of rates. Italy is a champion, for the second time in its history. Some favorites (finalists of the 2018 World Cup France and Croatia, as well as Germany, Holland) frankly failed. Some (England) were almost dragged into the final - almost all the meetings were held at home, and the semifinal match against Denmark and a penalty named after Raheem Sterling will be remembered for a long time.

The Spanish national team has confirmed a high level, hitting the TOP -4. Denmark, Finland, Czech Republic, Hungary, Switzerland left a very pleasant impression - these teams showed excellent football and jumped over their heads. The Russian national team is perhaps the main disappointment of the tournament, along with Turkey and Holland. Well, we are waiting for the World Cup 2022.

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Many thinking bettors were able to replenish their bankroll well, but the bulk of the pop-ups, as usual, remained in the red. Do you want to learn how to bet on sports correctly? Read our training section “Articles”, and with a 99% probability you will begin to understand betting much deeper.

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