Flat betting strategy
The flat strategy is the most conservative, safe and correct financial strategy that sports betting has just given birth to. Almost all professional players use it. Yes, and all bettors striving to play correctly, sooner or later come to the varieties of flat. We will talk about these varieties today.
What is flat
Financial strategy flat (flat) - from the English word flat, which can be translated as "flat". The essence of the strategy is to always allocate a fixed amount to your bets. For example, strictly 2% of the bankroll or strictly 5000 rubles for one outcome.
The strategy has several varieties:
- Static (fixed) flat. In this case, a fixed amount is invested on all bets, for example, 5000 rubles for the outcome. This amount is selected depending on the size of the starting bank, and does not change all the time during the strategy game. This is the simplest type of flat, where you do not need to memorize and calculate anything - you have selected the amount of the bet and go ahead.
- Dynamic flat. In this case, a certain percentage of the current bank is allocated to all bets. For example, a bank of 100,000 rubles, we decided to bet 2%. We allocate 2,000 rubles for the first bet, then everything depends on the passage of this bet. If the rate brought +2000, then the next one is made already in 2% of the new bank 102000 rubles (that is, 2040 rubles). If the bet loses, similarly, we bet 2% of the bank 98,000 rubles, that is, 1960 rubles.
If you make several bets at the same time, then it is more logical to revise the size of the flat after the end of the playing day. If the bank has grown by 10,000 rubles, then the next day we put 2200 rubles each on the outcome. If you sank to 80,000 rubles, then the next day we put 1600 on all bets.
This type of flat is safer for the bankroll, even if you find yourself in a hard drawdown, then you save part of your money by regularly decreasing the rate. At the same time, the bank grows faster on green waves, as the size of the bet is constantly increasing.
- American flat (static profit). Here, the size of the bet is selected based on the played odds. For large odds, you need to make a bet smaller, for small odds - more. For example, a player decided on a static profit of 10,000 rubles and chose two outcomes.
We select the size of the bet for each match in such a way that at the exit there is always an amount of about 10 thousand rubles. Thus, we bet € 150 on 1.787 odds, and € 50 on the high 3.34 odds.
You can also calculate the exact amount of the bet for this strategy using the formula:
C / (K — 1)
C is the sum of our fixed profit from the bet, and K is the odds of the outcome. That is, we take the coefficient, subtract one from it, and divide the sum of the fixed profit by the resulting number. In our case, it looks like this:
- 10,000 (3.34 - 1) = 4273 rubles (divide by the euro rate of 87, we get 49.1, round up to the bet amount of 50 euros);
- 10,000 (1,787 - 1) = 12,706 rubles (we divide by the rate of 87 euros, we get 146, round up to the amount of the bet of 150 euros).
It sounds difficult enough, but it is still the optimal choice of a flat for those who often flirt with different odds. It is not very wise to risk the same amounts at odds of 1.60 and odds of 6.00, and the American flat solves this problem.
How to choose the right flat size
This is the most important, fundamental question. The selection of a flat size directly depends on two things - the size of your starting bankroll and your willingness to take risks. In any case, you should not exceed 5% of the bank. This is a sub-optimal and maximum acceptable threshold for the most risky people who do not have a large bankroll. Such a player is simply forced to take risks in order to extract at least some profit with this strategy.
If you have a good bank, it is better to start right away with conservative numbers - 1-2% for a static flat, 2-3% for a dynamic one and 3-4% for an American one. If the bank is huge, it is better to minimize risks altogether and bet 1% on the outcome. Due to the large turnover of funds, the strategy will bring good profit anyway, while it will be practically safe for the main working tool.
Why is it important to bet a small percentage of the bank?
Due to the influence of variance and drawdown. With a good turnover of bets (from 200-300 options per month), large drawdowns are common. Drawdowns of 10 denominations (flat) occur in almost every month, even a very positive one. Catching a drawdown of 20 denominations is also not difficult, this happens regularly even with seasoned pros.
Sometimes it gets stormy and even stronger - 30, 40, 50 denominations, especially when playing at high odds. Therefore, it is important to have a margin of at least these 30-50 flats, or better, more. Otherwise, you can immediately lose your bank, and at the same time lose the opportunity to earn money in the bookmaker using sports betting.
Who is the flat strategy suitable for?
Absolutely everyone. It will not allow beginners to quickly drain the entire prepared bank, while professional players use and appreciate it anyway. The flat strategy is ideal for repeating the advice of a capper (or multiple cappers). It is very easy to calculate, displaying the planned distance profit based on the size of the bet multiplied by the percentage of ROI (Yield).
Flat can be used for betting in any sports - football, tennis, hockey, volleyball. And for betting in any market - outcome, total, handicap, IT, whatever.
This is a fundamental, conservative, low-risk game system, and it is difficult to find something more suitable for regular betting. There is only one real minus in it - the bank, as a rule, does not grow very quickly. When playing flat, plateaus often occur - getting stuck at the same level of the pot size. This slows down the excitement and is not at all as fun as when playing with progressive strategies (catch-up and the like). But in a professional game, extra emotions are not needed.
What numbers can the distance and flat strategy bring? Let's count:
Given: the bank is 200,000 rubles, the edge over the line is 2%, the stake is also 2% (4,000 rubles). Turnover - 300 rates per month, 3600 rates per year.
- Total, the size of the annual turnover will be 4,000 x 3,600 = 14,400,000 rubles.
- Multiply by ROI (Yield) 2% = 288,000 rubles of profit per year.
That is, 72 nominal rates or + 144% to the bank per year (+ 12% monthly average). And if you reinvest the profit, playing with a dynamic flat, or add funds from outside, this amount can be increased several times. Where can a player get such a percentage of profit? At Sberbank? In mutual funds? Nowhere. Only in betting and stock trading - high-risk, but extremely profitable investment instruments.
A couple more tips for using the flat strategy
Slowly but surely. In the above example, we have shown that you can achieve excellent profit + 144% to your bankroll (and this is without reinvestment) on a flat of only 2%. Yes, of course, a 5% flat will increase these figures by another 2.5 times. But it will also increase the risks by the same amount.
It is better to use 1% flat and get + 72% per annum from one bankroll for many years in a row, than to drain it in the first year, having received only a minus and disappointment in betting ... It is almost impossible to drain the bank with a 1% flat, you will always have working capital that makes a profit. And you can increase the turnover by increasing the number of bets - now there are a lot of smart guys who are able to give ROI (Yield) 1-2% even on big markets. You can find them on prediction exchanges and verifiers.
It is permissible to use an aggressive flat (4-5% or more) only in one case - if you have a very small bank. If the player bets 1% of the bank of 20,000 rubles, then on average he will receive only +1200 rubles per month. This can hardly inspire anyone. Therefore, you can take a risk and try to play 5% flat, increasing the profit to +6000 (+ 30%) monthly average. But don't forget to switch to a more conservative sizing when your bankroll accelerates.